2008 NFL Futures Pick
by Nick Parsons
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St Louis Rams OVER the win total in 2008: This total is still available at a 6.5 in many sports books and it is a great value at that number. The Rams were hit with a ton of injuries in 2007 and this certainly played a key role in them getting off to an 0-8 start. Then, later in the season when they had essentially quit and had their eyes on the off-season, St Louis lost their final four games of the year. However, in between all this the Rams did go through a stretch where they won three of four games and the one loss came by just five points. This team does have some potential as, even in a dreadful, injury-marred season they came very close to winning seven games (four of their losses were by a single score). Now, all we’re asking for in 2008 is for the Rams to indeed win seven games and we will cash this ticket! That’s really not asking for much and we’ll grab the value!
Coach Scott Linehan will have much more to work with this season and some of the coaching moves underneath him should pay immediate dividends. St Louis was able to hire Al Saunders after he was released by Washington. Look for more of an emphasis on the running attack with the Rams offense this season and that will certainly help out QB Marc Bulger. However, what could really help Bulger is the signing of QB Trent Green and QB Coach Terry Shea. Look for these two additions to help push Bulger back up to the normal high level that he is use to operating at. He should have a much better offensive line to operate behind as the Rams improved their O-line through the draft and through free agency. The added depth will be a big plus as we all saw what injuries did to this team last season. In terms of their schedule, the Rams have tough road games at Seattle, and New England. However, the other six road games include Arizona and Philadelphia (each just a .500 team last season), Washington (heading for a fall), and three other teams who all finished last season with five wins or less.
The Rams can be dangerous at home as they’ve shown in the past and, as you can see above, they do have some winnable road games. This is why getting over the 6.5 wins certainly doesn’t appear to be too much of an obstacle. Also note the importance of turnovers in this equation. The Rams were +14 in turnovers in 2006 when they went 8-8. Last season St Louis was -10 in turnovers and they ended up 3-13. The turnovers have a way of flip-flopping from season to season and you can bet the Rams are putting extra emphasis on this after it was such an area of concern in the 2007 season. Look for the Rams to be a much more solid and stable team this season and they are helped by playing in a fairly weak division. The end result is the legitimate potential of a winning season for St Louis. Best of luck this NFL Season – Nick “The BookieKiller” Parsons
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